TASI: Is Another Down Move Quietly Building?

  • On the surface, the week looked positive.

    A small gain. A steady close.

    But underneath, the story may be changing.

    The Tadawul All Share Index ended last week at 11,187, up just 0.7%. Not a big move, but enough to keep the optimism alive.

    And that’s where the concern begins.

  • What the chart is hinting

    On the broader view, it is still moving within a falling structure, which means the upside may not be as easy as it looks.

  • A pattern to watch closely

    On the daily timeframe, a Head and Shoulder pattern is starting to form.

    👉 It is a structure that often appears before a drop

    The key level here is the neckline.

    If the market slips below that level and holds there, it could open the door for a deeper decline.

  • Why upside looks limited (for now)

    Even if the market tries to bounce, there’s a strong barrier near 11700-11,800.

    That means:

    • Any short-term rise may struggle
    • Sellers could step in quickly
    • Momentum may fade faster than expected
  • What should traders do?

    This is not a comfortable buying zone.
    because the risk is rising quietly.

    The smarter approach right now:

    • Avoid chasing upside moves
    • Stay cautious with new long positions
    • Let the market confirm direction before acting
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    Details of Arijit Banerjee

    Arijit Banerjee CMT CFTe is a seasoned expert in the financial industry, boasting decades of experience in trading, investment, and wealth management. As the founder and chief strategist of Naranj Capital, he’s built a reputation for providing insightful research analysis to guide investment decisions.

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