Investing in Saudi’s Real-Estate Boom: ARDCO Offers a Golden Opportunity

Tadawul 4150

Abstract

Arriyadh Development Company (ARDCO), based in Riyadh and founded in 1993, focuses on buying and selling real estate in Saudi Arabia. With a market value of 5.45 billion SAR, ARDCO has seen strong growth, with sales rising 31% to 339.2 million SAR in FY23. The company has no debt, which shows its financial strength, and it is valued attractively with a P/E ratio of 15.9x, much lower than the industry average of 31x.

Recent analysis shows that the stock is on a strong upward trend, reaching new highs. As Saudi Arabia invests in infrastructure and diversifies its economy, ARDCO is well-positioned to benefit from the growing real estate market, making it a promising option for investors.

TADAWUL: 1212 - Astra Industrial - STOCK OVERVIEW

Arriyadh Development Co. specializes in buying and selling land and real estate across Saudi Arabia. The company operates through various segments, including Commercial Centers, Public Benefit, Lands and Contributions, and Common Assets and Liabilities. Additionally, it engages in off-plan sales, manages and leases both residential and commercial properties, and develops real estate projects for both sectors. The company also deals in the wholesale and retail of new and used vehicles, such as ambulances, minibuses, and four-wheel drive cars. Established in 1993, its headquarters is located in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

Market Capitalization – ‪‪5.45 B‬ SAR

 BUY   Arriyadh Development (TADAWUL: 1212)

TADAWUL: 4150 - Arriyadh Development - STOCK RECOMMENDATION

IdeaBUY
Buy Range31 – 32
Target40 – 41
Duration12-15  Months
Potential Returns30% – 35%
IdeaBuy RangeTargetDurationPotential Returns
BUY31 – 3240 – 4112-15 Trading Months30% – 35%

TADAWUL: 4150 - Arriyadh Development - RELATIVE STRENGTH

Relative Strength

Relative Performance - Last 1 Year

ARDCO —     TASI —

  • The chart clearly illustrates that ARDCO has outperformed the Tadawul all-share index by a remarkable margin, achieving an outstanding annual return of 54%.

TADAWUL: 4150 - Arriyadh Development - TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

TADAWUL 4150 - ARDCO - TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Tadawul: 4150 - Arriyadh Development - Technical Analysis

Monthly Chart

  • In February 2006, the stock reached a previous all-time high close to 28.5 SAR.
  • Following this peak, it encountered significant selling pressure, leading to a substantial decline.
  • The price eventually found support near 2 SAR and began its upward trajectory
  • After nearly two decades, the stock has successfully surpassed its previous resistance level and is now trading at a new all-time high.
  • This upward momentum is anticipated to continue, pushing the price even higher

Daily Chart

  • The daily chart reveals that the price has developed a Rounding Bottom pattern and has recently broken out, continuing its upward movement.

TADAWUL: 4150 - Arriyadh Development - Revenue & Profit Analysis

Year-on-year

PnL YoY
TADAWUL: 4150 - Arriyadh Development - Revenue & Profit Analysis (YoY)
  • In FY23, sales reached 339.2 million SAR, marking an impressive 31% increase from 259 million SAR in FY22.
  • EBITDA rose to 185.5 million SAR, compared to 142 million SAR in FY22.
  • The EBITDA margin remained stable at 55% during this period.

Quarter-on-quarter

PnL QoQ
TADAWUL: 4150 - Arriyadh Development - Revenue & Profit Analysis (QoQ)
  • In Q3, sales amounted to 79.6 million SAR, an increase from 77.0 million SAR in Q2.
  • However, Q3 EBITDA fell to 30.5 million SAR, down from 43.7 million SAR in Q2.
  • The diluted EPS for Q3 is recorded at 2.0 SAR (LTM), unchanged from Q2 2024.

TADAWUL: 4150 - Arriyadh Development - VALUATION

P/E Ratio

TADAWUL: 4150 - Arriyadh Development - PE vs Peers Average PE
  • This stock presents a compelling valuation, boasting a Price-To-Earnings Ratio of 15.9x, which is significantly lower than the peers average of 31x.

P/B Ratio

PB vs. Peers PB
TADAWUL: 4150 - Arriyadh Development - PB vs Peers Average PB
  • With a P/B ratio of 2.3x, this stock appears to be reasonably valued when compared to the peer average of 4.1x.

PEG Ratio

  • The PEG ratio of 0.13 indicates that the stock is undervalued in relation to its anticipated earnings growth.

TADAWUL: 4150 - Arriyadh Development - Cash Flow Analysis

  • Cash flow from operations jumped 90% to 225.8 million SAR in FY23, up from 112 million SAR in FY22, highlighting the company’s operational efficiency.

TADAWUL: 4150 - Arriyadh Development - DEBT Analysis

TADAWUL: 4150 - Arriyadh Development - Debt Analysis
  • The company proudly maintains a completely debt-free status, showcasing its strong financial health.

TADAWUL: 4150 - Arriyadh Development - Top Shareholders

TADAWUL: 4150 - Arriyadh Development - Top Shareholders
  • The Vanguard Group has a significant ownership stake of 2.17% in this company, while Blackrock holds a 1.32% interest, which marks a notable increase of 0.67% from the last quarter.

TADAWUL: 4150 - Arriyadh Development - CONCLUSION

Saudi Arabia’s initiatives to broaden its economic base, along with a surge in domestic demand and heightened investment in infrastructure, are set to drive the real estate market into an era of remarkable expansion.

ARDCO, as a significant participant in this field, is strategically positioned to take advantage of this momentum, supported by its strong financial performance and positive technical aspects.

TADAWUL: 1212 - Astra Industrial - TRADINGVIEW POSITION UPDATE

MONEY MANAGEMENT AND TRADING RULES

1)  It’s advisable to enter/exit in the recommended range.
2)  Strictly follow the StopLoss as mentioned. Honour it.
3)  Use trailing StopLoss to retain profits.
4)  Diversify trading capital into our other trading recommendations.
5)  Risk only the money what you can afford to lose. Hedge accordingly.

Advisor / ANALYST SUMMARY

The stock trading advice is prepared by the Naranj Capital team under the guidance of Arijit Banerjee, CMT, CFTe. Arijit is a veteran trader and an active investor having in-depth knowledge of financial market research, advanced technical analysis, market cycle, algorithmic trading, and portfolio management. He is a Chartered Market Technician (CMT) accredited by CMT Association USA, the global authority of Technical Analysis and also has been honored as a Certified Financial Technician (CFTe) by the International Federation of Technical Analysts, USA.

Disclosure

The views expressed herein are based solely on information available publicly/internal data/other sources believed to be reliable, but is not necessarily all-inclusive and is not guaranteed as to accuracy. The recommendations provided herein is solely for informational purposes and are not intended to be and must not be taken alone as the basis for an investment/trading decision. Trading and investing are subject to market risk and the securities discussed and opinions expressed herein may not be suitable for all investors. To read the full disclosure, please click here.

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